Aylık arşivler: Ekim 2026

Three Elections

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October 31, 2026

On October 4, 2026, Brazil’s left-wing President Lula da Silva won a fourth term in a remarkable comeback against his right-wing challenger, Flávio Bolsonaro. In an extremely tight race, Lula took 51.79% of the vote, becoming the first president since Brazil’s return to civilian rule in 1985 to be elected after losing the first round. Bolsonaro, who faces multiple criminal investigations, flew to Florida on temporary status granted, reportedly after orders from President Trump, and will be granted permanent residency later, according to US officials. Trump has said that leftist incumbent Lula da Silva’s surprise win in Brazil’s presidential vote “looked like another rigged election.”

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Tough Times for Ukraine

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October 22, 2026

In mid-December 2021, Russia handed the West two draft documents, “Agreement on Measures to Ensure the Security of the Russian Federation and Member States of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization”[i] and “Treaty Between the United States of America and the Russian Federation on Security Guarantees.”[ii]

The 1969 Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties defines a treaty as “an international agreement concluded between States in written form and governed by international law… “Agreement” is usually less formal and deals with a narrower range of subject-matter than “treaty”.

Thus, from the very beginning, Moscow signaled a difference in its approach to Europe and the US.

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The West in Turmoil (2)

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October 19, 2026

With just over two months left in the year, one may already conclude that 2026 has not been a good year for the West. On February 24, 2027, Europe’s long war in Ukraine will enter its sixth year. Moreover, the war in Iran has created additional political/economic problems for Europe. Transatlantic relations are more strained than ever. President Trump’s unpredictability across the spectrum constitutes a problem for Europe and the world. The absence of leaders who inspire confidence in their people and the world has become a major problem for the West.

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“Mecca Alliance”: The Imperatives of the Turkish Constitution and Foreign Policy

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October 9, 2026

On August 7, 2026, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Türkiye signed the “Mecca Joint Defense Agreement.” In fact—unless the signatory states chose to keep the text secret—what was signed was merely a joint statement.

My initial reaction to the news of this so-called “agreement” included the following questions:

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Warnings About the October 7 Attack, The Other Dimension

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October 5, 2026

Three years ago, Hamas carried out a large-scale surprise attack against Israel during which1,200 people, mostly Israelis, were killed and  253 Israeli and foreign citizens were taken hostage.  

Since then, Prime Minister Netanyahu has been criticized for failing to foresee the attack, for not heeding the warnings, and for not taking the necessary measures to prevent it. During the past few weeks, with reports of warnings by the UAE and Egypt about an imminent Hamas attack, this criticism has gained a further dimension, creating a problem for Netanyahu ahead of the October 27  legislative elections which will determine the governing coalition.

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